Bleak Outlook: Baseball Reference Projects Yankees Missing the Postseason in 2024.

Baseball Reference Predicts Yankees to End Season in Last Place

As a journalist, I have rewritten the article to make it unique:

The stat analysts at Baseball Reference are not optimistic about the Yankees’ chances of making the postseason in 2024. They project that the Yankees will only have a 2.7 percent chance to reach the playoffs and win just 71.6 games, which is worse than both the Pirates and Ohtani-less Angels. These projections are in stark contrast to Fangraphs, who predict that the Yankees will win 88 games, which is fourth-most in all of baseball. BetRivers Sportsbook is even more bullish on the Yankees, projecting them to win 91.5 games with a third-best odds to win the most games in baseball at +650.

Despite their pessimistic projections, Baseball Reference’s predictions are based on their Simple Rating System, which takes into account run differential and strength of schedule from previous seasons’ prior 100 games but does not consider injuries or players’ performance or variance. However, this system does not account for injuries or players’ performance or variance.

On the other hand, despite significant offseason acquisitions like Juan Soto and Aaron Judge’s potential to stay healthy and play a full season, these projections do not take into account how much improvement these additions can bring to the team’s offense and overall performance. Additionally, if Judge can stay healthy and play a full season, he has a chance to turn things around from his disappointing 2023 season.

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